Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001727 0.001800 0.001877 0.001962 0.002055 0.002153 0.002266
2025-06-08 0.001625 0.001732 0.001848 0.001984 0.002140 0.002316 0.002531
2025-06-15 0.001544 0.001674 0.001819 0.001995 0.002207 0.002458 0.002785
2025-06-22 0.001464 0.001606 0.001769 0.001974 0.002229 0.002543 0.002975
2025-06-29 0.001394 0.001544 0.001719 0.001944 0.002233 0.002602 0.003135
2025-07-06 0.001342 0.001499 0.001686 0.001930 0.002252 0.002679 0.003325
2025-07-13 0.001271 0.001427 0.001614 0.001861 0.002193 0.002642 0.003342
2025-07-20 0.001236 0.001396 0.001591 0.001854 0.002214 0.002716 0.003532
2025-07-27 0.001214 0.001380 0.001585 0.001867 0.002261 0.002830 0.003804
2025-08-03 0.001183 0.001351 0.001561 0.001853 0.002270 0.002886 0.003985
2025-08-10 0.001166 0.001340 0.001559 0.001869 0.002321 0.003013 0.004313
2025-08-17 0.001141 0.001316 0.001540 0.001859 0.002333 0.003076 0.004535
2025-08-24 0.001111 0.001286 0.001511 0.001836 0.002326 0.003111 0.004714
2025-08-31 0.001101 0.001283 0.001518 0.001864 0.002398 0.003287 0.005238
2025-09-07 0.001088 0.001272 0.001515 0.001877 0.002448 0.003432 0.005744
2025-09-14 0.001064 0.001249 0.001493 0.001860 0.002447 0.003483 0.006034
2025-09-21 0.001039 0.001222 0.001465 0.001834 0.002430 0.003501 0.006244
2025-09-28 0.001020 0.001203 0.001448 0.001822 0.002435 0.003561 0.006598
2025-10-05 0.000985 0.001162 0.001399 0.001760 0.002352 0.003439 0.006365
2025-10-12 0.000970 0.001148 0.001386 0.001753 0.002363 0.003509 0.006761
2025-10-19 0.000962 0.001142 0.001385 0.001765 0.002406 0.003649 0.007461
2025-10-26 0.000946 0.001126 0.001370 0.001752 0.002406 0.003698 0.007863
2025-11-02 0.000940 0.001122 0.001371 0.001767 0.002455 0.003862 0.008838